PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability94-95°F 49%+17.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$49.4K
Liquidity
$26.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
2.3% / 2.7%
Spread
17.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 2:23 AMJun 11, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Selected outcome
94-95°F49%
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jun 11, 2026?
17h
27%
12%
59%
+3 more outcomes
36 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$493.6
24h Vol$472.1
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jun '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.