PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability86-87°F 41%+5.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$17.7K
Liquidity
$51.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
33.0% / 34.0%
Spread
3.0%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:02 AMJul 22, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
86-87°F41%
Compare venues· 86-87°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 41% | — | $17.7K | $51.9K | 5 minutes ago | |
 KalshiMost active84% match · auto | High | 46% | — | $25.5K | $18K | 35 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 22, 2026?
1d
46%
35%
23%
+3 more outcomes
88 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$25.5K
24h Vol$25.5K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$17.7kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.