PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 72-73°F
Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 8:21 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
72-73°F
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
89%
ConsensusProbability Timeline
74-75°F0%
72-73°F100%
68-69°F4%
70-71°F29%
76-77°F1%
66-67°F3%
59°F or below0%
72-73°FWon
59°F or belowLost
60-61°FLost
62-63°FLost
64-65°FLost
66-67°FLost
68-69°FLost
70-71°FLost
74-75°FLost
76-77°FLost
78°F or higherLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.