PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 28°C
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, 9:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Aug 25, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
28°C 100%+41.5ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$19.8K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Aug 23, 26, 4:58 AMAug 25, 26, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
27°C24%
28°C100%
25°C2%
26°C4%
29°C19%
31°C0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
