PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 86-87°F
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 6:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
79°F or below0%
88-89°F0%
90-91°F5%
86-87°F46%
92-93°F5%
94-95°F1%
84-85°F16%
98°F or higher0%
86-87°FWon
Before close: 100% ·
79°F or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
80-81°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
82-83°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
84-85°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
88-89°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
90-91°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
92-93°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
94-95°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
96-97°FLost
Before close: 0% ·
98°F or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
- This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
- If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.