PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
30°C 45.7%Leader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
30°C 45.7%Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$81.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 4:57 AM UTCOct 9, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).