PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability94°F or higher 75%+50.0%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$22.7K
Liquidity
$53.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:03 AMJul 22, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
94°F or higher75%
Compare venues· 94°F or higher
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 75% | — | $22.7K | $53.9K | 10 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 61% | — | $7.7K | $6.7K | 10 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Denver on Jul 22, 2026?
22h
61%
26%
15%
+3 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$7.7K
24h Vol$7.7K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$22.7kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.