PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability104-105°F 42%+9.5%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$15.7K
Liquidity
$48.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
41.0% / 42.0%
Spread
2.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 1:03 AMJul 22, 26, 12:00 PM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
104-105°F42%
Compare venues· 104-105°F
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 42% | — | $15.7K | $48.4K | 12 minutes ago | |
 Kalshi84% match · auto | Medium | 52% | — | $8.1K | $6.5K | 12 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Kalshi
Highest temperature in Austin on Jul 22, 2026?
1d
52%
29%
15%
+3 more outcomes
61 • Medium qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$8.1K
24h Vol$8.1K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$15.7kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
- To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
- This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.