Current implied probability
$350 98%+2.9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$373.4
Liquidity
$14.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
94.1% / 99.9%
Spread
6.2%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJul 6, 26, 12:00 PMJul 7, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
$35098%
Volume trend
$373Jul 62d of dataJul 7
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BTC price on Jul 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
$2M$64,000 or above: 45%
KALSHI
KALSHIBTC price on Jul 7, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
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KALSHIBTC price on Jul 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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KALSHI
Apple (AAPL) closes above ___ on July 7?
$1.2K$300: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
$638Yes: 54%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 7?
$477.3$380: 99%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc.
- (GOOGL) on July 7 is higher than the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
- If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
- In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.