This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) on September 9, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.
This market will resolve to "Down" if it is lower.
If the two reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50.
For each day, the reference price is the "Close" value of the Pyth 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (covering 4:59:00–4:59:59 PM ET) on that date.
Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
A "reference day" is any day on which the applicable trading session for Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD), per the trading-hours schedule listed on Pyth, includes 4:59 PM ET.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 9??
Polymarket prices Up at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 9? resolve?
Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 9? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
How is Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on September 9? settled?
Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) on September 9, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the most recent prior reference day.