Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final
14.4 pts (24h)
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Australia 100%+0.6ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$563.8K
Liquidity
$500.5K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+20.4 pts
Market data
Updated 109 days ago
StaleJan 16, 26, 5:31 PMMay 14, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Malta86%
Bulgaria95%
Luxembourg0%
Armenia0%
Switzerland0%
Norway60%
Azerbaijan8%
Cyprus66%
Latvia0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
- If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
- If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final?
- Polymarket prices Australia at 100% as of May 14, 2026.
- When does Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final resolve?
- Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final is scheduled to resolve on May 14, 2026.
- How is Eurovision 2026: Second Semi-Final settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.