PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability1000+ 14%-19.5%Leader of 46 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.5K
Liquidity
$131.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
0.6% / 0.7%
Spread
16.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 4:00 AMSep 1, 26, 4:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1000+14%
Volume trend
$5.5kJul 244d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of August 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.