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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 4, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityGame 1 Winner 100%Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 3, 26, 10:51 PMAug 4, 26, 7:30 PM
Probability Timeline
Game 1 Winner63%
Game 2 Winner63%
Match Winner67%
Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)39%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?47%
Ends in Daytime52%
Both Teams Beat Roshan56%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks53%
Any Player Ultra Kill56%
Any Player Rampage53%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks39%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?0%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
Rules
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 4 at 8:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win the match against Vici Gaming.
- This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against 1win.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
- If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.