Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12?
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 4-7
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
4-7 100%+77.7ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 142 days ago
StaleApr 4, 26, 12:06 AMApr 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for the specified date.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as the data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the end of the specified date, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to the specified date for which data is available.
- This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for the specified date. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12??
- Polymarket prices 4-7 at 100% as of April 12, 2026.
- When does Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12? resolve?
- Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12? is scheduled to resolve on April 12, 2026.
- How is Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 12? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for the specified date.