Current implied probability
Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 80%Leader of 26 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$119.8K
Liquidity
$262.1K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 5:05 AMSep 11, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Carlos Alcaraz.
- This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Yibing Wu.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIOmega European Masters Winner
- Angel Ayora Fanegas+7.3pt9.4%
- Harry Hall+4.1pt6.6%
- Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra+4.2pt6.6%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
- $4.3M
KALSHIBucsa vs Sakatsume
- Cristina Bucsa+31.0pt99%
- Himeno Sakatsume-32.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.8M
KALSHIBonzi vs Buse
- Benjamin Bonzi62%
- Ignacio Buse38%
- Total Vol
- $3.4M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Chicago C
- Milwaukee+3.0pt53.5%
- Chicago C-3.0pt46.5%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
POLYMARKET2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Carlos Alcaraz+5.5pt41.4%
- Alexander Zverev+0.1pt21.1%
- Taylor Fritz+1.8pt10.6%
+45 more outcomes
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+6.0pt43%
- Alexander Zverev+1.0pt22%
- Taylor Fritz+3.0pt11%
+32 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.2M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz?
- Polymarket prices Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 80% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz resolve?
- US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market refers to the tennis match between Yibing Wu and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
- Where else is US Open ATP: Yibing Wu vs Carlos Alcaraz listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Limitless, Futuur.