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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Luca 100%
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$104K
Liquidity
$445K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 14, 26, 5:05 AM UTCSep 21, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Probability Timeline
Luca100%
USA, Qualifying: Completed Match: Luca100%
100%
100%
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Roger Pascual Ferra in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Roger Pascual Ferra.
- This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Luca Staeheli.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
