This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 26, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probabilitySmith 100%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$189.2K
Liquidity
$650.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 25, 26, 10:00 AMAug 2, 26, 4:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Smith100%
Completed Match100%
Smith Match O/U 21.5100%
Smith Set 2 Winner28%
Smith Set 1 O/U 8.567%
Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Smith Match O/U 22.5100%
Smith Set 1 O/U 9.545%
Smith Match O/U 23.5100%
Smith Set 1 Winner33%
Smith Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Smith Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Smith Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Smith Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Smith Set 1 O/U 10.523%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Large trades
$2.4k79.0%
POLYMARKETRoger Pascualneutralwave233h ago
POLYMARKETRoger Pascualneutralwave233h ago$1.4k45.0%POLYMARKETColton Smith88M3h ago
POLYMARKETColton Smith88M3h ago$1.1k81.3%POLYMARKETColton Smith4manyothers4h ago
POLYMARKETColton Smith4manyothers4h ago$1.1k57.6%POLYMARKETColton SmithHALBAEYO4h ago
POLYMARKETColton SmithHALBAEYO4h agoVolume trend
$189.2kJul 252d of dataJul 26
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This market refers to the tennis match between Roger Pascual and Colton Smith in the Los Cabos Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 12:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual' if Roger Pascual advances against Colton Smith.
- This market will resolve to 'Colton Smith' if Colton Smith advances against Roger Pascual.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.