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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 30, 2026, 5:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityMensik 100%+56.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$440.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 29, 26, 4:01 AMAug 6, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Mensik25%
Completed Match50%
Mensik Set 1 Winner14%
Mensik Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Mensik Total Sets: O/U 2.541%
Mensik Set 1 O/U 8.576%
Mensik Match O/U 21.565%
Mensik Set 1 O/U 9.563%
Mensik Match O/U 22.557%
Mensik Set 1 O/U 10.540%
Mensik Match O/U 23.548%
Mensik Set 2 Winner40%
Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Mensik Set 2 O/U 9.551%
Mensik Set Handicap +/-1.555%
Mensik Set 2 O/U 10.550%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Jakub Mensik.
- This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Brandon Nakashima.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.