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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 24, 2026, 1:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Game Spread: Fabian Marozsan (-3.5) vs Alex Bolt (+3.5) — Fabian Marozsan 100%+48.0ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$114.6K
Liquidity
$3K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 23, 26, 11:05 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 6:30 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Fabian Marozsan75%
Completed Match49%
Set 1 Winner: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt — Fabian Marozsan70%
Set 2 Winner: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Bolt — Fabian Marozsan71%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over83%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over56%
Set Handicap: Fabian Marozsan (-1.5) vs Alex Bolt (+1.5) — Fabian Marozsan53%
Game Spread: Fabian Marozsan (-3.5) vs Alex Bolt (+3.5) — Fabian Marozsan100%
Fabian Marozsan vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.534%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over33%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over50%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Match O/U 21.5 — Over56%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Match O/U 22.5 — Over47%
Marozsan vs. Bolt: Match O/U 23.5 — Over40%
100%
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 1% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Alex Bolt in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 2:30AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Alex Bolt.
- This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
