This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 4:31 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Probability Timeline
Luciano Darderi34%
Completed Match49%
Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud — Luciano Darderi38%
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud — Luciano Darderi38%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over43%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over64%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5 — Over57%
Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.540%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over0%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5 — Over50%
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5 — Over43%
Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5) — Casper Ruud44%
Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-3.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+3.5) — Casper Ruud46%
Luciano DarderiWon
Completed MatchWon
Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud — Luciano DarderiWon
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud — Luciano DarderiWon
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverWon
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5 — OverWon
Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Lost
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5 — OverLost
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5 — OverLost
Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5) — Casper RuudLost
Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-3.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+3.5) — Casper RuudLost
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Casper Ruud in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Casper Ruud.
- This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
