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Current implied probability
Taro Daniel 100%Leader of 16 outcomes
Market quality
71 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$113.1K
Liquidity
$122.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingSep 22, 26, 11:05 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 4:00 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Taro Daniel100%
Completed Match100%
Set 1 Winner: Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuoka — Taro Daniel94%
Set 2 Winner: Taro Daniel vs Hayato Matsuoka — Taro Daniel100%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over91%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over91%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over50%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over50%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over100%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Match O/U 21.5 — Over48%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Match O/U 22.5 — Over50%
Set Handicap: Taro Daniel (-1.5) vs Hayato Matsuoka (+1.5) — Taro Daniel100%
Game Spread: Taro Daniel (-1.5) vs Hayato Matsuoka (+1.5) — Taro Daniel100%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Match O/U 23.5 — Over1%
Taro Daniel vs. Hayato Matsuoka: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.50%
Daniel vs. Matsuoka: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
1%
0%
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 91% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Won
Before close: 100% ·
Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Hayato Matsuoka in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 12:00AM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Hayato Matsuoka.
- This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
