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Resolved: Oct 12, 2026, 7:15 AM
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Probability Timeline
Completed Match100%
Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5) — Felix Auger-Aliassime100%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5 — Over64%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5 — Over50%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5 — Over46%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — Over100%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — Over48%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — Over48%
Set 2 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime — Pablo Carreno Busta30%
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.534%
Pablo Carreno Busta0%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — Over34%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — Over57%
Set 1 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime — Pablo Carreno Busta18%
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — Over0%
Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5) — Felix Auger-Aliassime58%
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) — Pablo Carreno Busta9%
Completed MatchWon
Game Spread: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-3.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+3.5) — Felix Auger-AliassimeWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 21.5 — OverWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 22.5 — OverWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Match O/U 23.5 — OverWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 — OverWon
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 — OverWon
Set 2 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime — Pablo Carreno BustaWon
Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5 — Over 2.5Won
Pablo Carreno BustaLost
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 — OverLost
Set 1 Winner: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime — Pablo Carreno BustaLost
Busta vs. Auger-Aliassime: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 — OverLost
Set Handicap: Felix Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Pablo Carreno Busta (+1.5) — Felix Auger-AliassimeLost
Set Handicap: Pablo Carreno Busta (-1.5) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (+1.5) — Pablo Carreno BustaLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between the named outcome and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
- This market will resolve to 'the named outcome' if the named outcome advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime.
- This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against the named outcome.
- If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
- If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
- If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
