Current implied probability
No 52.5%+0.1pt
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$611.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
46.0% / 49.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spread7d Change
-17.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 18, 26, 8:19 PMJul 31, 26, 1:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes48%
Large trades
$1.0k42.6%
POLYMARKETYesYoungAlphaGoatyesterday
POLYMARKETYesYoungAlphaGoatyesterdayVolume trend
$2.9kJul 195d of dataJul 27
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As of market creation, Ares Management is estimated to release earnings on July 31, 2026.
- The Street consensus estimate for Ares Management’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.27 as of market creation.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ares Management reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.27 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
- If Ares Management releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
- If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha.