PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Down (100%)
Resolved: Jul 22, 2026, 9:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Down
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Down
- Recorded
- Jul 22, 2026, 9:50 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityDown 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleJul 21, 26, 12:00 PMJul 22, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up0%
Down100%
0%
100%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Down
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LimitlessBest overall67% match · auto | Low | 89% | — | $447.2K | $0 | 4 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $2.1K | $0 | 4 days ago |
Also available on Limitless
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
No (89.4%)
89.3%
10.7%
33 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$449.7K
24h Vol$447.2K
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$2.1kJul 222d of dataJul 23
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 22, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 22, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.