PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Up (100%)
Resolved: Jul 13, 2026, 8:17 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Up
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 13, 2026, 8:03 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Settlement provenance
- Standing outcome
- Up
- Recorded
- Jul 13, 2026, 8:36 PM
- Observations
- 1
- Revisions
- 0
- Method
- resolution_watch
Current implied probabilityUp 100%+0.5pt
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 12:05 PMJul 13, 26, 8:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Up52%
Down48%
100%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Up
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | Low | 100% | — | $1.6K | $0 | 13 days ago | |
 Limitless90% match · auto | Low | 98% | — | $182.6 | $0 | 13 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Limitless
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
Closed
Resolved
Yes (98.4%)
98.4%
1.6%
19 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.4K
24h Vol$182.6
LIMITLESSRules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.6kJul 123d of dataJul 14
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on the most recent prior trading day.
- This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- (AMZN) on July 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc.
- E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.