Current implied probability
Jannik Sinner 100%+18.4ptLeader of 67 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$96.5K
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+39.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 days ago
StaleJan 2, 26, 8:33 PMJul 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Jannik Sinner100%
Carlos Alcaraz16%
Novak Djokovic14%
Jack Draper2%
Alexander Zverev0%
Taylor Fritz3%
Ben Shelton3%
João Fonseca1%
Jakub Menšík0%
Daniil Medvedev1%
Arthur Fils2%
Tommy Paul1%
Alex de Minaur1%
Grigor Dimitrov0%
Alexander Bublik1%
Lorenzo Musetti0%
Matteo Berrettini2%
Stefanos Tsitsipas0%
Sebastian Korda0%
Gabriel Diallo1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime3%
Andrey Rublev1%
Hubert Hurkacz1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard2%
Lorenzo Sonego0%
Alex Michelsen0%
Frances Tiafoe0%
Cameron Norrie0%
Alexei Popyrin1%
Tallon Griekspoor0%
Jiří Lehečka1%
Francisco Cerúndolo0%
Ugo Humbert0%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina0%
Casper Ruud0%
Flavio Cobolli1%
Karen Khachanov0%
Tomáš Macháč0%
Nicolás Jarry0%
Marin Čilić0%
Other0%
Arthur Fery0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Jannik Sinner
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall85% match · linked | Low | 88% | — | $20.9M | $21M | 14 days ago | Open → |
 PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $96.5K | $0 | 13 days ago | |
 Rothera85% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $7.4M | $0 | 13 days ago | Open → |
 Limitless90% match · linked | Low | 50% | — | $96.8 | $0 | 14 days ago | Open → |
 Manifold Markets90% match · auto | — | 100% | — | — | — | 13 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
2026 Wimbledon - Men’s singles winner?
Closed
Resolved
🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (99.6%)
99.6%
0.2%
0.1%
+6 more outcomes
Community forecast84 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Limitless
2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner
Closed
50%
50%
50%
+4 more outcomes
9 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$111
24h Vol$96.8
LIMITLESSAlso available on Kalshi
Wimbledon Men's Final: Sinner vs Zverev
8.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
Jannik Sinner (88%)
+7.0pt88%
-8.0pt12%
2%
+44 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$33.8M
24h Vol$20.9M
KALSHIAlso available on Rothera
Wimbledon 2026: Men's Champion
Closed
Resolved
JSIN (100%)
100%
0%
35 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$7.4M
24h Vol$7.4M
ROTHERARules
Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$3.3k99.0%KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d ago
KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d ago$1.4k99.0%KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago
KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago$1.0k99.0%KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago
KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago$2.3k99.0%KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago
KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago$8.5k99.0%KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago
KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago$2.8k99.0%KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago
KALSHIAlexander Zverev — No15d ago$1.5k99.0%KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d ago
KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d ago$5.8k99.0%KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d ago
KALSHIJannik Sinner — Yes15d agoVolume trend
$96.5kJul 212d of dataJul 13
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Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.