Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?

WeatherDaily

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Stale

Jul 5, 26, 7:08 PMAug 11, 26, 11:41 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (also known as CO-OPS Station 9410170, San Diego, CA) is officially recorded at 72.7°F or higher at any point from market creation until August 27, 2026 (00:00 UTC).
If the water temperature does not reach 72.7°F during this timeframe, the market resolves to NO.
The official sources of truth for this market are:
NOAA Tides & Currents - Physical Oceanography for San Diego (9410170)
National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) - Station SDBC1 Real-Time Data

Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?

WeatherDaily

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Yes (99%)

Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 99%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Stale

Jul 5, 26, 7:08 PMAug 11, 26, 11:41 PM

Probability Timeline

Yes99%

No1%

Yes

99%

Rules

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (also known as CO-OPS Station 9410170, San Diego, CA) is officially recorded at 72.7°F or higher at any point from market creation until August 27, 2026 (00:00 UTC).
If the water temperature does not reach 72.7°F during this timeframe, the market resolves to NO.
The official sources of truth for this market are:
NOAA Tides & Currents - Physical Oceanography for San Diego (9410170)
National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) - Station SDBC1 Real-Time Data

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of August 12, 2026.
When does Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026? resolve?: Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 11, 2026.
How is Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?

Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

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