Will I write for >half the time that I read this month?
MonthlyManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (57.3%)
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, 2:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 57.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 2:03 PMAug 12, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
57.3%
42.7%
Rules
I spend a good amount of time reading, sometimes books but also often Substack essays and LessWrong posts as well.
- I think this is overall good but can easily turn into a sort of productivity sink, where it feels like I'm doing something good/productive by reading yet another post but I'm not really getting anything out it.
- I'd like to write more and better organize my thoughts on a variety of topics, so that's why I'm making this market.
- In the next month I'll track my time reading and writing, and my goal is to write for at least half as much of the time that I read.
- At the moment I do fairly little writing (maybe <10% of the time I spend reading).
- I will not include taking basic notes while I read something to be "writing," although if I'm more carefully writing up counterarguments or analysis then I would count it as writing.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will I write for >half the time that I read this month??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of August 14, 2026.
- When does Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? resolve?
- Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? is scheduled to resolve on August 12, 2026.
- How is Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I spend a good amount of time reading, sometimes books but also often Substack essays and LessWrong posts as well.