What are the current odds for Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of August 13, 2026.

When does Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow? resolve?

Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow? is scheduled to resolve on August 12, 2026.

How is Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I’m going to be watching from the Westfjords in Iceland on a whale watching boat

Will I see a whale for at least ~5 seconds tomorrow?

Daily

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (31.099999999999994%)

Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, 7:11 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Yes 68.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 8 days ago

Stale

Aug 11, 26, 3:47 PMAug 12, 26, 3:47 PM

Trends

Yes

68.9%

31.1%

Rules

I’m going to be watching from the Westfjords in Iceland on a whale watching boat