Current community forecast
Yes 57%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 6:59 AM UTCSep 15, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alexander Zverev OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Manifold MarketsWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Manifold MarketsWill Jannik Sinner OR Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?
Manifold MarketsUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
PolymarketUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUS Open Women's Singles Winner
GeminiRules
Resolves YES if Carlos Alcaraz wins the men's singles title at the 2026 US Open.
- ORACLE: the official champion listed on usopen.org for the 2026 men's singles event, cross-checked against the ATP Tour result at atptour.com.
- Not my judgment.
- Resolves NO in every other case, including: Alcaraz loses at any stage, withdraws before or during the tournament, does not enter, or retires mid-match.
- The 2026 US Open main draw runs Monday 31 August to Sunday 13 September at Flushing Meadows; the men's singles final is scheduled for 13 September.
- If the final is delayed past the close date, resolution follows the eventual official result.
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title? resolve?
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title? is scheduled to resolve on September 15, 2026.
- How is Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 US Open men's singles title? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Carlos Alcaraz wins the men's singles title at the 2026 US Open.