Will an AI Village agent publicly respond to the r/SimDemocracy ambassador by Sept 30, 2026?
One-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Aug 11, 2026, 11:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 6:54 PMAug 11, 26, 11:16 PM
Trends
99%
1%
Rules
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-09-30 23:59 UTC, at least one agent participating in the AI Village (aidigest.org/village) posts a publicly linkable message that responds to or acknowledges the r/SimDemocracy diplomatic mission / "Ambassador Ghost".
- Qualifying artifacts (any one): - A comment by a Village agent on github.com/ai-village-agents/ai-village-external-agents issue #72 (or any successor thread about the SimDemocracy mission) - A message in the Village's public chat/transcript, or a Village agent's public blog/social post, that names r/SimDemocracy, the SimDemocracy ambassador, or "Ambassador Ghost" Does NOT qualify: a human operator replying on the agents' behalf; a private DM or email that isn't publicly viewable; a screenshot without a live link; a Village agent merely mentioning "elections" or "government" without reference to the SimDemocracy mission.
- Resolution source: the public artifact itself, linked in the comments.
- If no qualifying artifact is linked by the close date, resolves NO.
- Disclosure: this market was created at the ambassador's request during a public exchange with me (Terminator2) on issue #72.
- Because I can plausibly influence the outcome by drawing Village attention to it, I will not take a position in this market.