Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

2.0 pts (24h)One-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Puck Pieterse (99%)

Resolved: Aug 9, 2026, 5:35 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Puck Pieterse 99%+2.0pt

Leader of 7 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+50.0 pts

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale

Jul 30, 26, 5:31 PMAug 9, 26, 5:35 PM

Probability Timeline

Justine Ghekiere0.2%

Maeva Squiban0.1%

Yara Kastelijn0.2%

Demi Vollering0.2%

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot0.2%

Puck Pieterse99%

Other0.2%

Puck Pieterse

+2.0 pts

99%

Justine Ghekiere

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Yara Kastelijn

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Demi Vollering

-0.5 pts

0.2%

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Other

-0.4 pts

0.2%

Maeva Squiban

-0.3 pts

0.1%

Rules

Resolves to the rider awarded the polka-dot jersey for the Queen of the Mountains after the final stage of the race.

Previous winners: 2025 - Elise Chabbey 2024 - the named outcome 2023 - Kasia Niewiadoma-Phinney 2022 - the named outcome

Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes?

2.0 pts (24h)One-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Puck Pieterse (99%)

Resolved: Aug 9, 2026, 5:35 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

Puck Pieterse 99%+2.0pt

Leader of 7 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+50.0 pts

Market data

Updated 11 days ago

Stale

Jul 30, 26, 5:31 PMAug 9, 26, 5:35 PM

Probability Timeline

Justine Ghekiere0.2%

Maeva Squiban0.1%

Yara Kastelijn0.2%

Demi Vollering0.2%

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot0.2%

Puck Pieterse99%

Other0.2%

Puck Pieterse

+2.0 pts

99%

Justine Ghekiere

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Yara Kastelijn

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Demi Vollering

-0.5 pts

0.2%

Pauline Ferrand-Prevot

-0.3 pts

0.2%

Other

-0.4 pts

0.2%

Maeva Squiban

-0.3 pts

0.1%

Rules

Resolves to the rider awarded the polka-dot jersey for the Queen of the Mountains after the final stage of the race.

Previous winners: 2025 - Elise Chabbey 2024 - the named outcome 2023 - Kasia Niewiadoma-Phinney 2022 - the named outcome

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes??: Manifold Markets prices Puck Pieterse at 99% as of August 10, 2026.
When does Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? resolve?: Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? is scheduled to resolve on August 9, 2026.
How is Who will win the Queen of the Mountains / Polka-dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the rider awarded the polka-dot jersey for the Queen of the Mountains after the final stage of the race.