Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Mads Pedersen (99%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 12:26 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastMads Pedersen 99%+1.0ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
40
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleJun 29, 26, 4:26 PMJul 26, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Jasper Philipsen2.4%
Olav Kooij0.1%
Mads Pedersen99%
Tim Merlier0.3%
Other0.1%
Biniam Girmay0.3%
Max Kanter0.3%
99%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Rules
Resolves to the rider awarded the green jersey for the points classification competition after the final stage of the Tour de France 2026 in Paris.
- Previous winners: 2025 - Jonathan Milan 2024 - the named outcome 2023 - the named outcome
