Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Spain (12%)
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, 11:40 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastFrance 20.9%Leader of 27 outcomes
Forecasters
48
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 32 days ago
StaleFeb 2, 26, 7:51 PMJun 24, 26, 5:05 PM
Probability Timeline
France20.9%
USA3.8%
Spain12%
England10%
Canada0.2%
Mexico1.6%
South Africa0.5%
Haiti0.3%
Scotland0.4%
Korea Republic0.3%
Qatar0.4%
Switzerland0.4%
Brazil4.2%
Morocco2.5%
Paraguay0.6%
Australia0.7%
Germany5.2%
Ecuador0.7%
Netherlands5.8%
Egypt0.5%
Belgium2.7%
Argentina14.7%
Portugal8.7%
Croatia1.1%
Ghana0.9%
Panama0.9%
Other4.5%
20.9%
14.7%
12%
10%
8.7%
5.8%
5.2%
4.5%
4.2%
3.8%
2.2%
1.4%
1%
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
Rules
Please do not add duplicate options; they will resolve N/A (with priority going to options which were added first).
- Will close after round 2 of the group stage.
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+12.6pt17.1%
- Wyndham Clark+8.5pt10.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.3pt9.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $44.5M
- 24h Vol
- $20.8M
POLYMARKETLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- Game 1 Winner+63.5pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+54.5pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- O/U 2.5 Games+55.5pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+35.0pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+34.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 1 Winner+39.0pt87%
- O/U 2.5 Games+13.5pt67%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+14.5pt65%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- Match Winner+61.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.5pt100%
- 1 Winner+59.5pt100%
+24 more outcomes
KALSHIEngland vs Pakistan
- England+7.0pt98%
- Pakistan-3.0pt1%
- Draw/Tie-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- T1 vs. KT Rolster
- MLB: Athletics vs Kansas City Royals (Aug 20, 2026)
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Steiner vs Yamalapalli
- Pro Baseball Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices France at 21% as of July 20, 2026.
- When does Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026? resolve?
- Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026? is scheduled to resolve on June 24, 2026.
- How is Who will win the FIFA World Cup 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Please do not add duplicate options; they will resolve N/A (with priority going to options which were added first).