Current community forecast
NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026 71.4%Leader of 35 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 26, 4:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Last year, there were no solo no-hitters recorded in Major League Baseball.
- (https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-no-hitter-drought-in-2025)
- The market resolves to YES for a pitcher once https://www.baseball-reference.com/friv/no-hitters-and-perfect-games.shtml is updated for a pitcher's performance in the "Individual No-Hitters" chart on that webpage as the first of the season.
- The market resolves to NO for a pitcher if another pitcher throws a solo no-hitter.
- "the named outcome" resolves to YES after closing day, if and only if there are no recorded solo no-hitters during the regular season.
- TRADERS PERMITTED TO ADD ANSWERS
Open markets
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season??
- Manifold Markets prices NO SOLO NO-HITTER IN 2026 at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season? resolve?
- Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Who will be the first pitcher to throw a solo no-hitter in the 2026 MLB season? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Last year, there were no solo no-hitters recorded in Major League Baseball.