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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Esports
  3. Which of the following members of tractor v(mop) will gain 3 ranks in Mahjong Soul first?
Manifold Markets

Which of the following members of tractor v(mop) will gain 3 ranks in Mahjong Soul first?

EsportsOne-Off6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
bluelinfish1 (st3 6038*) 4.1%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters

9

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
May 2, 26, 12:17 AMJan 1, 27, 1:16 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

bluelinfish1 (st3 6038*)4%

Rules

The score for each person needed to resolve YES is given in parenthesis.

Manifold Markets
  • calculation: (based on score at the time of market creation)
  • -if someone is N points above the midpoint of the current rank, then the cutoff is N points above the midpoint of the rank 3 above
  • -if someone is N points below the midpoint, the cutoff is N points below the max of the rank 2 above
  • *The exception is bluelinfish1 where I used 2 ranks instead of 3, since it is quite hard to rank up at that level.
  • bluelinfish1 https://amae-koromo.sapk.ch/player/124604916

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Rules

The score for each person needed to resolve YES is given in parenthesis.

Manifold Markets
  • calculation: (based on score at the time of market creation)
  • -if someone is N points above the midpoint of the current rank, then the cutoff is N points above the midpoint of the rank 3 above
  • -if someone is N points below the midpoint, the cutoff is N points below the max of the rank 2 above
  • *The exception is bluelinfish1 where I used 2 ranks instead of 3, since it is quite hard to rank up at that level.
  • bluelinfish1 https://amae-koromo.sapk.ch/player/124604916