Which of the following members of tractor v(mop) will gain 3 ranks in Mahjong Soul first?
EsportsOne-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: redpandaheart (st1 2448) (99%)
Resolved: Aug 3, 2026, 12:51 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastredpandaheart (st1 2448) 99%+13.4ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleMay 2, 26, 12:17 AMAug 3, 26, 12:51 AM
Probability Timeline
bluelinfish1 (st3 6038*)0.2%
redpandaheart (st1 2448)99%
lunetteb (ms3 3010)0.2%
KnowingAnt (ms3 2039)0.2%
c4thie (ms1 2739)0.2%
sqrt1729 (ms1 1414)0.2%
gretaq5 (ex3 1404)0.2%
99%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Rules
The score for each person needed to resolve YES is given in parenthesis.
- calculation: (based on score at the time of market creation)
- -if someone is N points above the midpoint of the current rank, then the cutoff is N points above the midpoint of the rank 3 above
- -if someone is N points below the midpoint, the cutoff is N points below the max of the rank 2 above
- *The exception is bluelinfish1 where I used 2 ranks instead of 3, since it is quite hard to rank up at that level.
- bluelinfish1 https://amae-koromo.sapk.ch/player/124604916
