Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastQuintuple jump landed in figure skating competition 45.4%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.8 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleFeb 22, 26, 5:11 AM UTCDec 31, 40, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
From 2017 to 2019, the YouTube channel of Wired magazine produced a series of 20 videos titled "Almost Impossible", where reporter Robbie Gonzalez investigated how various feats of human athleticism are performed, and what it would take to push their limits even further.
- As of the creation of this market in February 2026, ten of the "Almost Impossible" feats listed in the titles of these videos have been accomplished by humans, leaving ten remaining.
- This market will resolve to whichever of these feats is first accomplished successfully.
- Clarifications (I will add more here as needed): Juggling - as ratified by juggling-records.com or other source widely recognized by the juggling community Stone skipping - as ratified by the Guinness Book of World Records Cycling - must be performed on a cycling track Field goal - can be kicked in practice
- "Almost Impossible" playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLibNZv5Zd0dxkbCooIoTnbkAHz_Z6YvTK
Open markets
Sports
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- Total Vol
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KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R11.7%
- Buffalo10.8%
- San Francisco8.1%
+29 more outcomes
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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 21 Nyglar
- LAR+1.0pt72.8%
- NYG27.2%
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETDota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHIKrejcikova vs Friedsam
- Barbora Krejcikova-7.0pt79.8%
- Anna-Lena Friedsam+2.0pt20.2%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIFedEx Open de France Winner
- Ludvig Åberg-2.1pt8.7%
- Tommy Fleetwood-0.2pt8.7%
- Matt Fitzpatrick-0.1pt7.8%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- MVP Winner?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which "Almost Impossible" feat will be accomplished next??
- Manifold Markets prices Quintuple jump landed in figure skating competition at 45.4% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does Which "Almost Impossible" feat will be accomplished next? resolve?
- Which "Almost Impossible" feat will be accomplished next? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2040.
- How is Which "Almost Impossible" feat will be accomplished next? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: From 2017 to 2019, the YouTube channel of Wired magazine produced a series of 20 videos titled "Almost Impossible", where reporter Robbie Gonzalez investigated how various feats of human athleticism are performed, and what it would take to push their limits even further.