Where will I rent my next apartment?
One-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Bronx (13.4%)
Resolved: Jul 31, 2026, 5:06 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastQueens above I495 19.8%-19.8ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleApr 17, 26, 4:37 PMJul 31, 26, 4:29 PM
Probability Timeline
Manhattan above 125th St13.4%
Bronx13.4%
Queens above I49519.8%
Queens below I49513.4%
Brooklyn13.4%
Manhattan between 57th and 125th St (inclusive)13.4%
Manhattan below 57th St13.4%
19.8%
13.4%
13.4%
13.4%
13.4%
13.4%
13.4%
Rules
I am looking for a new apartment.
- Resolves based on where I reside on the close date.
- If I choose to stay in my current apartment, I will resolve based on my current apartment, which is Manhattan between 57th and 125th.
- My wife and I average to 28 years old and have a combined income of about 200k.
- I commute to Jamaica and she commutes to the UES.
- We often go to Spuyten Duyvil for family.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Where will I rent my next apartment??
- Manifold Markets prices Queens above I495 at 20% as of August 1, 2026.
- When does Where will I rent my next apartment? resolve?
- Where will I rent my next apartment? is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026.
- How is Where will I rent my next apartment? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I am looking for a new apartment.