What are the current odds for When will yao ye beat me in codeforces rating (part 2)?

Manifold Markets prices Before September 2026 at 100% as of August 9, 2026.

When will yao ye beat me in codeforces rating (part 2)

One-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: Before September 2026

Resolved: Aug 8, 2026, 5:01 PM

Awaiting verified resolution

CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.

Current community forecast

Before September 2026 100%

Leader of 4 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 days ago

Stale

Jul 30, 26, 8:51 PMAug 8, 26, 5:01 PM

Probability Timeline

Before September 2026100%

Before October 20260%

Before November 20260%

After (the start of) November 20260%

Before September 2026

100%

Before October 2026

Before November 2026

After (the start of) November 2026

Rules

Resolves based on when yao ye beats me in codeforces rating.

Before [month name] means before midnight of the first of that month.
Resolves "After November 2026" if he hasn't beaten me in rating by 11/1/2026 midnight.
his cf is https://codeforces.com/profile/RninverseC
my cf is https://codeforces.com/profile/2-qiym
accidently resolved incorrectly, but literally no one bet so i think its fine