Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (99.7%)
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, 11:57 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Current community forecastNo 99.7%
Forecasters
318
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 56 days ago
StaleApr 10, 26, 4:26 PMMay 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes0.3%
No99.7%
0.3%
99.7%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall77% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $154.4K | $0 | 54 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 56 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
No (100%)
100%
0%
32 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidity
Total Vol$34.6M
24h Vol$154.4K
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.