Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 1:39 AM
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Probability Timeline
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose74.1%
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown50%
Safety Scored47.2%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes63%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back100%
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins26.5%
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury0%
Fake Punt10.2%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game84%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game9.9%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game56.1%
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game35.8%
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name96.1%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT44.4%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime54.8%
Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses50%
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)30.8%
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)34.8%
A player gets an Octopus25.7%
MVP Favorite Changes by Wednesday (Josh Allen)0%
Any team scores 40+ points67%
Scorigami17.1%
Pick Six77.9%
Fat Guy Touchdown*39%
35% or higher Kick Return rate50%
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)51%
Any 400 yard passer28.3%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt82.3%
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points4.5%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week9.4%
A 4th and 11+ is converted*32.7%
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)45.2%
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards98.2%
A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts59%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)50%
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?39%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out69.2%
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game9.4%
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped100%
3 Missed FGs or Extra Points (from both teams combined) in a Game50%
Shutout50%
The player with the most passing yards wears a prime number50%
Overtime50%
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games (Rams, Bills, Ravens, Seahawks, Chiefs)50%
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
2026-27 NFL Season - Week One
- *** Prop Clarifications
- the named outcome
- Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
- Based on closing DraftKings lines
Open markets
Sports
KALSHICharaeva vs Kenin
- Alina Charaeva+24.0pt73%
- Sofia Kenin-26.0pt27%
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R11.7%
- Buffalo10.8%
- San Francisco8.1%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $129.7M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 21 Nyglar
- LAR+1.0pt72.8%
- NYG27.2%
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
POLYMARKETDota 2: Team Nemesis vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
KALSHIKrejcikova vs Friedsam
- Barbora Krejcikova-7.0pt79.8%
- Anna-Lena Friedsam+2.0pt20.2%
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIFedEx Open de France Winner
- Ludvig Åberg-2.1pt8.7%
- Tommy Fleetwood-0.2pt8.7%
- Matt Fitzpatrick-0.1pt7.8%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Ole Miss vs Florida
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- MVP Winner?
- England vs Sri Lanka
- Pro Baseball Champion
- College Football National Championship Winner
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Pridankina vs Egorova
- Bouzkova vs Kartal
- Oklahoma St. vs West Virginia: Spread
Frequently asked questions
- When does NFL Week 1 - Prop Bets resolve?
- NFL Week 1 - Prop Bets is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is NFL Week 1 - Prop Bets settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 2026-27 NFL Season - Week One