Humanoid robot walking around me within three years?
One-OffManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (45.6%)
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, 2:28 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 54.4%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleApr 30, 26, 4:08 PMAug 19, 26, 2:28 AM
Trends
54.4%
45.6%
Rules
Same fine print rules as this market: https://manifold.markets/Bandors/humanoid-robot-walking-around-me-wi
- I remember on a recent podcast, I heard someone say "everyone will realize they're now living in the future when they start seeing robots walking past them in a few more months"
- This market resolves YES if I'm walking around and a humanoid robot casually crosses my path.
- Little sweeper robots are not enough, nor are the slightly more human looking ones at sushi restaurants
- I will not purposely seek one out, and I will not bet on this market
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Humanoid robot walking around me within three years??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of August 19, 2026.
- When does Humanoid robot walking around me within three years? resolve?
- Humanoid robot walking around me within three years? is scheduled to resolve on August 19, 2026.
- How is Humanoid robot walking around me within three years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Same fine print rules as this market: https://manifold.markets/Bandors/humanoid-robot-walking-around-me-wi