What are the current odds for How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold??

Manifold Markets prices 6/10 at 16% as of July 24, 2026.

How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: 8/10 (12.2%)

Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, 7:56 PM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

6/10 15.9%-15.9pt

Leader of 11 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 28 days ago

Stale

Jul 1, 26, 4:28 AMJul 8, 26, 4:26 AM

Probability Timeline

0/101.2%

1/103.3%

2/107%

3/105.4%

4/1012.9%

5/1015%

6/1015.9%

7/1014.4%

8/1012.2%

9/107.8%

10/105%

6/10

-15.9 pts

15.9%

5/10

-15.0 pts

15%

7/10

-14.4 pts

14.4%

4/10

-12.9 pts

12.9%

8/10

+87.8 pts

12.2%

9/10

-7.8 pts

7.8%

2/10

-7.0 pts

3/10

-5.4 pts

5.4%

10/10

-5.0 pts

1/10

-3.3 pts

3.3%

0/10

-1.2 pts

1.2%

Rules

10/10 is Super duper restrictive, 0/10 is not restrictive at all

I will create a poll asking manifold users to vote on one of these options, and will resolve this market based on the option with the most votes.
Note that ties will mean the resolution will split among the winners

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold??: Manifold Markets prices 6/10 at 16% as of July 24, 2026.
When does How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold? resolve?: How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold? is scheduled to resolve on July 8, 2026.
How is How restrictive will Fable's new safeguards be, according to manifold? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 10/10 is Super duper restrictive, 0/10 is not restrictive at all