Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKimi Antonelli 29.5%-9.3ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
19
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+6.4 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 8:01 PMAug 22, 26, 1:55 PM
Trends
0.5%
Rules
Each answer resolves YES iff that driver is P1 in the official Grand Prix Qualifying classification; all others resolve NO.
- Grid penalties do not change the result. “Other” covers any unlisted driver.
- If the relevant session has no official classification, resolves N/A. Source: official Dutch GP weekend and official results.
- Related Dutch GP markets:
- Mercedes SQ3
- Sprint winner
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy+12.6pt17.1%
- Wyndham Clark+8.5pt10.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.3pt9.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $44.5M
- 24h Vol
- $20.8M
POLYMARKETLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- Game 1 Winner+63.5pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+54.5pt100%
- Odd/Even Total Kills+50.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- O/U 2.5 Games+55.5pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+35.0pt100%
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon+34.0pt100%
+33 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 1 Winner+39.0pt87%
- O/U 2.5 Games+13.5pt67%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+14.5pt65%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- Match Winner+61.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.5pt100%
- 1 Winner+59.5pt100%
+24 more outcomes
KALSHIEngland vs Pakistan
- England+7.0pt98%
- Pakistan-3.0pt1%
- Draw/Tie-3.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- BMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- T1 vs. KT Rolster
- MLB: Athletics vs Kansas City Royals (Aug 20, 2026)
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Steiner vs Yamalapalli
- Pro Baseball Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole??
- Manifold Markets prices Kimi Antonelli at 30% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole? resolve?
- F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole? is scheduled to resolve on August 22, 2026.
- How is F1 Dutch GP: Who will take Grand Prix pole? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Each answer resolves YES iff that driver is P1 in the official Grand Prix Qualifying classification; all others resolve NO.