Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMercedes 44%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
1
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+24.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 12, 26, 6:23 PM UTCSep 26, 26, 10:55 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to the constructor of the driver classified P1 in the official Grand Prix race classification.
- Other covers every unlisted constructor.
- Use the latest official FIA classification or decision published within 48 hours after the relevant session ends; Formula1.com is the fallback.
- For Safety Car and tyre questions, use official F1/FIA race reports, timing, or race footage.
- Later appeals and changes are ignored.
- Official classification breaks timing ties.
Open markets
SportsKALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Max Greyserman+5.0pt5.8%
- Eric Cole+3.5pt5.8%
- Ben Kohles+3.5pt4.8%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $7.5M
KALSHIBMW PGA Championship Winner
- Ludvig Åberg+8.1pt12.5%
- Aaron Rai+6.3pt8%
- Adam Scott+5.7pt7.1%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins (Sep 16, 2026)
- MIN75%
- NYY-32.0pt25%
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.5M
KALSHIMilwaukee vs Pittsburgh
- Pittsburgh+45.0pt89.9%
- Milwaukee-48.0pt10.1%
- Total Vol
- $3.3M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2M
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville End of Round 1 Leader
- Max Greyserman+15.5pt14.5%
- Eric Cole+12.6pt12%
- Benjamin James+5.1pt6%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIReal Betis vs Getafe
- Real Betis+25.0pt83.2%
- Tie-12.0pt13.9%
- Getafe-14.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- DET Lions vs BUF Bills
- Mannarino vs Bobichon
- Detroit vs Buffalo: Touchdowns
- Los Angeles D vs Cincinnati
- Detroit vs Buffalo: Total Points
- LSU vs Ole Miss
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC
- Rotterdam Dockers vs Dublin Guardians
- Catanzarite vs Cinalli
- A's vs Tampa Bay
- Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for F1 2026 Azerbaijan GP: Which constructor will win??
- Manifold Markets prices Mercedes at 44% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does F1 2026 Azerbaijan GP: Which constructor will win? resolve?
- F1 2026 Azerbaijan GP: Which constructor will win? is scheduled to resolve on September 26, 2026.
- How is F1 2026 Azerbaijan GP: Which constructor will win? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to the constructor of the driver classified P1 in the official Grand Prix race classification.