Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (98.1%)
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, 12:37 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 98.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleNov 16, 25, 1:31 PMJul 26, 26, 10:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1.9%
No98.1%
98.1%
1.9%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Sports
KALSHIBMW Championship Winner
- Wyndham Clark+6.0pt17.3%
- J.J. Spaun+4.4pt12.5%
- Chris Gotterup+7.0pt12.5%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $51.9M
- 24h Vol
- $18.9M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- 2 Winner+50.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+52.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5+49.0pt100%
+14 more outcomes
KALSHIBMW Championship End of Round 2 Leader
- Wyndham Clark+30.0pt45%
- J.J. Spaun+12.0pt26%
- Sungjae Im+5.0pt10%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIArsenal vs Coventry
- Arsenal+15.0pt98%
- Coventry-5.0pt1%
- Tie-10.0pt1%
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETCincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keys
- Keys+65.5pt100%
- Completed Match+50.0pt100%
- Keys Total Sets: O/U 2.5+58.5pt100%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETCincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
- Nakashima+8.0pt72%
- Nakashima Set 1 Winner+9.0pt68%
- Nakashima Set 2 Winner+13.0pt63%
+12 more outcomes
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- MLB: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers (Aug 20, 2026)
- Fritz vs Nakashima
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
- LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Arsenal vs Coventry: Total Goals
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee: First Inning Run
- EPL: 2027 Champion
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee: Total Runs
- Lopez Montagud vs Perez Contri
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Evenepoel does not start TdF2026 or wins the TdF2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of August 4, 2026.
- When does Evenepoel does not start TdF2026 or wins the TdF2026 resolve?
- Evenepoel does not start TdF2026 or wins the TdF2026 is scheduled to resolve on July 26, 2026.