Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 59.9%
Yes 59.9%Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleFeb 4, 25, 9:29 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Will a fully self-contained humanoid robot (with no external power source) defeat a professional table tennis player in a regulation match before January 1, 2035?
- Resolution criteria:
- Robot must be fully self-contained, with no external power source or hardware during the match
- Match must be against a professional table tennis player (defined as someone who has competed in ITTF events)
- Match must follow standard ITTF rules (best-of-seven games to 11 points, etc.)
