Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 25, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
Los Angeles 95.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 days ago
StaleDec 31, 25, 2:00 PMSep 27, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
0.4%
0.4%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Los Angeles96%
Compare venues· Los Angeles
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall88% match · verified | Medium | 99% | — | $419.8 | $438.6K | 8 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 96% | — | — | — | 2 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
NL West Division Winner
3mo
94.3%
1.9%
1.9%
+2 more outcomes
53 • Medium qualitySpread unknownHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$686.8K
24h Vol$419.8
KALSHIRules
Team that is in first place at the end of the MLB regular aeason
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$2.0k99.0%KALSHILos Angeles D — Yes11d ago
KALSHILos Angeles D — Yes11d ago$1.5k97.0%KALSHILos Angeles D — Yes19d ago
KALSHILos Angeles D — Yes19d ago$2.0k99.0%KALSHIArizona — No22d ago
KALSHIArizona — No22d agoVolume trend
$10Jul 242d of dataJul 25
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Team that is in first place at the end of the MLB regular aeason