2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Javokhir Sindarov (99%)
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, 10:53 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastJavokhir Sindarov 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 104 days ago
StaleApr 4, 26, 1:01 AMApr 14, 26, 10:53 PM
Probability Timeline
Javokhir Sindarov99%
Fabiano Caruana0.1%
Hikaru Nakamura0.1%
Anish Giri0.5%
Wei Yi0.1%
Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa0.1%
Matthias Bluebaum0.1%
Andrey Esipenko0.1%
99%
0.1%
0.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.1%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Javokhir Sindarov
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall79% match · auto | Low | 100% | — | $0 | $0 | 106 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 99% | — | — | — | 104 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament: Winner
Closed
Resolved
Javokhir Sindarov (100%)
+0.9pt100%
-0.1pt0%
-0.6pt0%
+11 more outcomes
15 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$0
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Rules
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026.
- If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
- If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.