Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast阿根廷 14.6%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 25, 11:25 AMJul 20, 26, 3:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
阿根廷15%
Related Markets
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs MIBR.LOS (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group D
$28.9KMatch Winner: 92%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C
$23.6KMatch Winner: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
$10.9KAny Player Rampage: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET2026 Esports World Cup - Chess winner?
$50Magnus Carlsen: 55.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Any 2026 EWC Dota 2 game to end in under 20 minutes?
$0Yes: 50%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
Any Club to finish top 3 in 8+ EWC 2026 tournaments?
$0Yes: 50%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket keeps Golden Ball odds flat at 50% as Mbappe–Messi buzz growsBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loomBlockchain.News
Ronaldo says World Cup goodbye as Polymarket Golden Ball odds sit at 50%Blockchain.News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.News
Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria
- 在2026-07-19决赛结束并且FIFA官方发布结果后，本市场将把“FIFA World Cup 26 冠军”所属的国家队对应选项结算为“是”，其他选项为“否”。以FIFA官方网站的决赛比赛报告/赛事结果页为准；决赛地点与日期以FIFA公布为权威参考。(inside.fifa.com, gpcustomersupportfwc2026.tickets.fifa.com)
- 赛程与主办：赛事于2026-06-11至2026-07-19在美国、加拿大、墨西哥三国举行；决赛定于纽约–新泽西（MetLife Stadium）在2026-07-19进行。(inside.fifa.com, gpcustomersupportfwc2026.tickets.fifa.com)
- 赛制：48队，12组×4；小组前二加上8个成绩最好的第三名晋级32强淘汰赛。(gpcustomersupportfwc2026.tickets.fifa.com)
- 备选球队简况（与交易相关的近况）：
- 阿根廷：2022年世界杯冠军；2024年美洲杯冠军。(en.wikipedia.org, apnews.com)